Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 18-19°F on March 16?

The market strongly predicts temperatures will not reach 18-19°F in Chicago on March 16.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 18-19°F on March 16. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a very low chance of the temperature reaching that range. With only three hours until expiry and a confidence level of 65, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures reaching 18-19°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Current conditions do not suggest a rise to the predicted temperature range.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.