Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 22-23°F in Chicago on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus against temperatures falling within the specified range. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a temperature spike. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO'.
• 2 High confidence level of 80/100 supports market stability.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to predictions.
• 4 Market probability closely aligns with AI predictions.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect market responsiveness to new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.