Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 24-25°F in Chicago on March 16.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 24-25°F on March 16. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 24°F.
• 2 The high probability suggests strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is low with only 5 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.