Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 17?

The market favors temperatures outside the 24-25°F range for Chicago on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a higher likelihood of temperatures not falling between 24-25°F in Chicago on March 17, with a NO probability of 65.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a consensus that the temperature will likely be outside this range.

• 1 Market probability leans towards NO at 65.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also favors NO at 62.5%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 1 hour remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.