Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 28-29°F in Chicago on March 16.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures between 28-29°F, the consensus indicates a strong belief that this range will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability against, suggesting a high level of confidence in the forecasted temperatures.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 28-29°F.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 1.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Historical weather patterns in March may support the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.