Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 34-35°F in Chicago on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.5% for NO, there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a low likelihood of this temperature range being met. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong preference for temperatures below 34°F.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a low chance of reaching the specified temperature range.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Market pricing reflects a balanced assessment of current weather forecasts.
• 5 Potential for volatility if new weather data emerges before expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.