Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 27?

Market strongly favors temperatures outside the 42-43°F range in Chicago on March 27.

The prediction market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for temperatures not being between 42-43°F in Chicago on March 27. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, indicating a consensus that temperatures will likely fall outside this range. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 High confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong belief in the market's prediction.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is accurately priced based on current data.
• 4 Low liquidity may affect market responsiveness to new information.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which could impact the urgency of market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.