Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chicago's temperature on March 11.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 44-45°F. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a temperature within that range. The confidence level of 80/100 reflects a solid conviction in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also supports NO at 99%.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 6 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.