Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 14?

Market strongly favors temperatures outside the 44-45°F range in Chicago on March 14.

The prediction market indicates a high probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 44-45°F on March 14, with a market probability of 99.75% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1.75%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall confidence in the market's stance.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The market probability is significantly skewed towards 'NO'.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction shows a minor discrepancy but aligns with market consensus.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in forecasts.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect liquidity and market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.