Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 27?

High confidence in Chicago's temperature reaching 44-45°F on March 27.

The market shows a strong probability of 90.50% for the temperature in Chicago to be between 44-45°F on March 27, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 89%. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, suggesting that current expectations are well-aligned with predictive analytics.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a temperature of 44-45°F.
• 2 The market probability is significantly higher than the NO option.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction closely matches market sentiment.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.