Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 46-47°F in Chicago on March 12.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of temperatures in Chicago not falling within the 46-47°F range on March 12, with a consensus of 99.8% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of the specified temperature range being met.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 46°F.
• 2 The market probability shows minimal confidence in the YES outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the NO prediction.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.