Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 46-47°F in Chicago on March 24.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the temperature will not fall between 46-47°F on March 24. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a minimal chance of temperatures reaching that range. Given the confidence level of 80/100, the market appears to be fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against the temperature range.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests a reliable market assessment.
• 4 No liquidity issues are indicated in the current market.
• 5 Historical weather patterns may support the current predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.