Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 12?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 48-49°F in Chicago on March 12.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', the consensus is that temperatures will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly less certainty, indicating a strong belief in higher temperatures on that date.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures outside the 48-49°F range.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of specified temperatures.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, suggesting strong conviction in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.