Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 48-49°F in Chicago on March 24.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures between 48-49°F, the consensus is that this range will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for 'YES', indicating a strong belief in lower temperatures.

• 1 Market indicates a strong belief temperatures will not hit 48-49°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Current confidence level is high at 80/100.
• 4 No imminent time pressure as expiry time is unknown.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.