Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 24?

High confidence that Chicago's temperature will be between 50-51°F on March 24.

The prediction market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for temperatures in Chicago to be between 50-51°F on March 24, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 99% probability, suggesting that the market is well-informed. However, the edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting limited room for profit.

• 1 Market probability is extremely high at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of -0.95 suggests fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.