Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on March 24?

Market strongly favors temperatures outside the 54-55°F range in Chicago on March 24.

The prediction market shows a dominant NO probability of 99.95%, indicating a strong belief that temperatures will not fall between 54-55°F. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of the event occurring. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests confidence in alternative temperature outcomes.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Chicago may support current predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect volatility as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.