Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 10?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Chicago will not reach 58-59°F on March 10.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 58-59°F on March 10. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, which gives a minimal chance of 1% for this temperature range. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level of 90 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 58°F.
• 2 The consensus reflects confidence in stable weather patterns.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures typically do not reach this range.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is a factor, as the event date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.