Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 28?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chicago's temperature on March 28.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 58-59°F on March 28. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the forecast.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which could affect future market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.