Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 10?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chicago's temperature on March 10.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 62-63°F in Chicago on March 10. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests low likelihood of temperatures in this range.
• 3 Market pricing indicates a fair valuation with minimal edge.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, reflecting strong consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.