Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 64-65°F range in Chicago on March 15.

With a market probability of 99.9% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall between 64-65°F. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher uncertainty reflected in its 1% probability for 'YES'. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market heavily favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a low probability for temperatures within 64-65°F.
• 3 Current sentiment suggests strong confidence in a 'NO' outcome.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.9.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.