Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 22?

The market indicates a low probability for temperatures in Chicago to reach 64-65°F on March 22.

With a market probability of 2% for YES and 98% for NO, the consensus strongly favors temperatures not falling within the specified range. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 4% YES probability, suggesting a general agreement on the forecasted temperatures.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 98%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market data, indicating low confidence in a YES outcome.
• 3 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available information.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 6 hours, increasing urgency for any new data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.