Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 30?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 64-65°F in Chicago on March 30.

The prediction market indicates a high probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 64-65°F on March 30, with a NO probability of 99.55%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a minimal chance of YES at 1%. Given the current confidence level and time to expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO outcome.
• 2 High confidence level suggests stability in predictions.
• 3 Limited time to expiry may affect market dynamics.
• 4 Low liquidity could lead to larger price swings.
• 5 Historical weather data may reinforce current predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.