Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 21?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 66-67°F in Chicago on March 21.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 66-67°F on March 21, with a very low AI probability of 1% for a YES outcome. This suggests a strong consensus against the likelihood of this temperature range occurring on that date.

• 1 Market shows complete confidence in a NO outcome for the temperature range.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 3 Current weather forecasts do not support temperatures in the specified range.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Confidence level of 80 suggests a strong belief in the NO outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.