Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 68-69°F range in Chicago on March 20.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall between 68-69°F. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating minimal expectation for temperatures within this range. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market heavily favors temperatures outside the 68-69°F range.
• 2 High confidence level of 85/100 in the current prediction.
• 3 Pulse AI shows minimal probability for temperatures in the target range.
• 4 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced at this time.
• 5 No imminent time pressure as the expiry date is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.