Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 68-69°F in Chicago on March 21.

With a market probability of 0% for a temperature between 68-69°F, the consensus indicates a strong belief that this range will not be met. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a high confidence level in the forecasted temperatures.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 68-69°F.
• 2 The market is perceived as fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong conviction in the prediction.
• 4 The Pulse AI closely mirrors market sentiment with a 1% probability for YES.
• 5 Time to expiry for the prediction is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.