Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?

Market favors a high of 68-69°F in Chicago on March 22 with a 64.95% probability.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood of Chicago's temperature reaching between 68-69°F on March 22, with a probability of 64.95%. The Pulse AI also supports this outlook, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 61.95%. With only 7 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced, showing a minor edge of -3.

• 1 Current market probability is 64.95% for YES.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 61.95%.
• 3 The edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, only 7 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.