Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 74-75°F in Chicago on March 26.

With a market probability of 96.3% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of the event occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 74°F.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty.
• 3 Market pricing indicates a fair valuation of the temperature prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in March may influence future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.