Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 20?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chicago's temperature on March 20.

The prediction market indicates a 99.9% probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not be between 76-77°F on March 20. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 98.4%, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are a key factor influencing predictions.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March supports lower temperature expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with low volatility in betting activity.
• 5 Time pressure is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.