Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 21?

High probability for Chicago's temperature to be between 76-77°F on March 21.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 98.05% probability for the temperature to fall between 76-77°F. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 96.55%, indicating a robust agreement among participants. The edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for the temperature range.
• 2 The high probabilities indicate strong confidence among participants.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the predicted temperature range.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for efficient trading.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.