Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 22?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chicago's temperature on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.7% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus against the temperature being between 76-77°F. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating low likelihood for a YES outcome. The confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.7%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also indicates low chance for YES at 1.8%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 5 hours, increasing urgency.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.