Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?

The market predicts a low chance of temperatures in Chicago reaching 76-77°F on March 26.

With a market probability of 1.75% for a YES outcome, the consensus indicates a strong belief that temperatures will not fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 3.25%, suggesting a marginally more optimistic outlook, but still aligns with the overall NO sentiment.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment with 98.25% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance of YES at 3.25%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 1 hour, increasing urgency for updates.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.