Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 9?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 76-77°F in Chicago on March 9.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus against temperatures falling within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal expectation for temperatures to reach 76-77°F.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 76°F.
• 2 The probability gap indicates strong confidence in the 'NO' outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the low likelihood of reaching the specified temperature range.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.