Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 80-81°F in Chicago on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.65% for 'NO', participants largely expect temperatures to fall outside the 80-81°F range. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature reaching the specified range.

• 1 Market probability shows strong confidence in temperatures staying below 80°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher but still indicates a low chance for the YES outcome.
• 3 Current market sentiment is heavily skewed towards the NO option.
• 4 The edge of 0.65 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in temperature forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.