Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 10°C or below on March 24?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 10°C in Chongqing on March 24.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.4%) that the highest temperature in Chongqing will exceed 10°C on March 24. With a Pulse AI probability of only 2.1% for temperatures at or below this threshold, the consensus leans heavily towards warmer conditions. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures being 10°C or below.
• 2 The high probability suggests confidence in warmer weather forecasts.
• 3 Historical data typically shows Chongqing experiencing higher temperatures in late March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 67 hours until the market's expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.