Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 11°C on March 24?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chongqing's temperature on March 24.

With a market probability of 99.6% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 11°C in Chongqing. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low probability of 1.9% for YES. The confidence level of 55 suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 11°C.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a strong consensus among participants.
• 3 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 62 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.