Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 12°C on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 12°C in Chongqing on March 24.

With a market probability of 99.6% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 12°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low probability of 1.9% for YES. The confidence level of 55/100 indicates moderate uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 12°C.
• 2 Historical weather data for Chongqing may support lower temperatures.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trading activity.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 56 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.