Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on March 24?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 15°C in Chongqing on March 24.

The prediction market indicates a high probability that the highest temperature in Chongqing will exceed 15°C, with a NO probability of 99.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, showing a significantly lower likelihood of 3.5% for YES. Given the confidence level of 55/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 15°C.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests higher temperatures for this time of year.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 33 hours until expiry.
• 5 Confidence level indicates some uncertainty but leans towards NO.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.