Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on March 24?

Market favors temperatures above 18°C in Chongqing on March 24.

The prediction market indicates an 82.5% probability that the highest temperature in Chongqing will not reach 18°C on March 24. The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome at 20.5%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall consensus against the temperature threshold being met.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 18°C.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI estimates.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Historical weather data may influence future predictions and adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.