Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or higher on March 24?

Chongqing is unlikely to reach 20°C on March 24 based on current predictions.

The market shows a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 20°C, with a probability of 87.5% for 'NO'. Despite a slightly higher AI probability of 17.5% for 'YES', the overall sentiment indicates low confidence in warmer temperatures for that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors lower temperatures.
• 2 The probability of reaching 20°C is low based on existing data.
• 3 There is a notable discrepancy between market and AI predictions.
• 4 The edge of 5 suggests limited data for a confident assessment.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.