Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on March 26?

High probability indicates confidence in Chongqing's temperature reaching 23°C on March 26.

The market shows a strong belief that the highest temperature in Chongqing will reach 23°C on March 26, with a probability of 98.20%. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 96.7% probability, suggesting a consensus among participants. However, the edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for the temperature reaching 23°C.
• 2 The high probabilities suggest strong confidence among traders.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the likelihood of reaching this temperature.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, allowing for efficient market adjustments.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 2 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.