Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chongqing's temperature on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 27°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting limited expectations for a warmer day. Given the time to expiry of just one hour, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Current temperature trends in Chongqing do not support a rise to 27°C.
• 3 Limited time remaining may affect trading activity.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting low volatility.
• 5 Historical weather data suggests temperatures rarely exceed 27°C in late March.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.