Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 43°F or below on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 43°F in Dallas on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.95% for temperatures exceeding 43°F, the consensus is clear that it is highly unlikely to be that low. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, suggesting minimal chance for a temperature drop to 43°F or below.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief in warmer temperatures.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, showing low likelihood for cold conditions.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates a solid consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to any last-minute weather changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.