Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 84°F in Dallas on March 23.

With a market probability of 98.5% for a NO outcome, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 84°F. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome at 3%. The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate uncertainty, but the edge suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 84°F.
• 2 The market probability shows a strong NO outcome at 98.5%.
• 3 Pulse AI indicates a slight chance of temperatures reaching 84°F at 3%.
• 4 The confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 2 hours remaining for this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.