Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 98°F or higher on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 98°F in Dallas on March 15.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that the temperature will not reach 98°F. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of higher temperatures. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 98°F.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests confidence in cooler weather predictions.
• 3 Historical data may support lower temperatures for this time of year.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating reliable pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current forecasts dominate sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.