Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 13?

Market shows a close split on whether Dallas will hit 78-79°F on March 13.

The prediction market indicates a 43% probability for temperatures in Dallas to fall between 78-79°F on March 13, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance at 46%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of just 1 hour, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Market probability shows a slight lean towards NO at 57%.
• 2 AI probability indicates a marginally higher chance for YES at 46%.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 With only 1 hour until expiry, time pressure may influence trading decisions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.