Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on March 17?

The market strongly predicts temperatures above 17°C in Hong Kong on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a firm belief that the highest temperature in Hong Kong will exceed 17°C on March 17, with a 100% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slight acknowledgment of uncertainty at 1% for 'YES.' Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures of 17°C or below.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 No liquidity concerns are evident in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.