Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 17?

The market predicts the highest temperature in Hong Kong will not reach 19°C on March 17.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a 100% probability assigned to temperatures not reaching 19°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a very low chance of a YES outcome. Confidence in this prediction is relatively high at 80 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows unanimous NO sentiment with 100% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating low likelihood of a YES outcome.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 suggests strong conviction in the current prediction.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues noted in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.