Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 24?

The market predicts a very low chance of Hong Kong reaching 19°C on March 24.

With a market probability of 0.05% for a high of 19°C, the consensus strongly favors a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a minimal chance of the event occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability for YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market predictions, indicating low likelihood.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.