Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 19°C in Hong Kong on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not be 19°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for 'YES' at 1%, suggesting minimal expectation for this outcome. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market pricing is considered fairly accurate.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 19°C.
• 2 Current forecasts do not support a rise to 19°C.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March suggests cooler averages.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is low, indicating limited trading activity.
• 5 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 65 out of 100.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.