Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 19°C in Hong Kong on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for temperatures exceeding 19°C, the consensus is clear that it is highly unlikely to be 19°C or below. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly lower probabilities, indicating a strong belief in warmer conditions on that date.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures above 19°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, suggesting stability.
• 3 Low liquidity may indicate limited betting interest in this outcome.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.